Genealogy Insight – Facts, Assumptions, and Guesses Are Not the Same Thing

Many genealogy errors begin when a possibility quietly becomes a “fact” without enough evidence to support it.

A researcher may suspect that two people are connected because they lived in the same county, shared a surname, or appeared near each other in records. That possibility may be reasonable—but reasonable is not the same as proven. Over time, repeated assumptions can spread through online trees, notes, and family discussions until no one remembers where the original conclusion came from.

Good genealogy research requires distinguishing between facts, assumptions, and hypotheses. A fact is supported by evidence. An assumption is something believed but not yet proven. A hypothesis is a working theory that still needs testing. Strong researchers label uncertain conclusions clearly instead of presenting them as established truth.

The most reliable family histories are built slowly, with careful evaluation of evidence. A theory can guide research, but records—not repetition—must confirm it.

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